Reflections on Transparency and Monitoring under the 1993 United States-Russian Federation Highly Enriched Uranium Purchase Agreement

ABSTRACT

The 1993 Highly Enriched Uranium (HEU) Purchase Agreement between the United States and Russian Federation is often described as one of the world's most successful nuclear nonproliferation programs. In 2013, the two states achieved the agreement's major goals of downblending 500 metric tons of Russian weapon-origin HEU to low enriched uranium (LEU) and delivering all resultant LEU to the United States. At one time, the LEU delivered under the agreement generated nearly 10 percent of all electricity in the United States. The agreement achieved its nonproliferation goals through a unique government/industry partnership. Commercial executive agents contracted for the annual sale and delivery of downblended LEU, while the US and Russian governments exercised reciprocal transparency monitoring measures to demonstrate that all LEU delivered under the agreement was derived from Russian weapons-origin HEU, and that the same LEU was used for exclusively peaceful purposes in the United States. The commercial development, negotiations, and implementation of the agreement have been well documented. This article describes the scope of US transparency monitoring activities in Russian HEU processing facilities, as well as Russian monitoring in the United States. In addition, it discusses the results of twenty years of reciprocal transparency monitoring and data analysis, and outlines lessons learned that are potentially applicable to future transparency monitoring and verification regimes and similar cooperative efforts.     

Using container inspection history to improve interdiction logistics for illicit nuclear materials

Strengthening the United States' ability to prevent adversaries from smuggling nuclear materials into the country is a vital and ongoing issue. The prospect of additional countries, such as Iran, obtaining the know‐how and equipment to produce these special nuclear materials in the near future underscores the need for efficient and effective inspection policies at ports and border crossings. In addition, the reduction of defense and homeland security budgets in recent years has made it increasingly important to accomplish the interdiction mission with fewer funds. Addressing these complications, in this article, we present a novel two‐port interdiction model. We propose using prior inspection data as a low‐cost way of increasing overall interdiction performance. We provide insights into two primary questions: first, how should a decision maker at a domestic port use detection data from the foreign port to improve the overall detection capability? Second, what are potential limitations to the usefulness of prior inspection data—is it possible that using prior data actually harms decision making at the domestic port? We find that a boundary curve policy (BCP) that takes into account both foreign and domestic inspection data can provide a significant improvement in detection probability. This BCP also proves to be surprisingly robust, even if adversaries are able to infiltrate shipments during transit. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 60: 433‐448, 2013     

基于模糊Petri网的航材供应链冲突诊断建模与分析

结合航材供应链特点,建立航材供应链冲突诊断指标体系,并将节点问协作指标引入体系之中。通过模糊产生式规则,建立航材供应链冲突诊断模型,进行诊断推理,找出引起冲突的关键因素,并提出航材供应链冲突的防范对策。     

Experimental and numerical study of the blast wave decrease using sandwich panel by granular materials core

Among the intrinsic properties of some materials, e.g., foams, porous materials, and granular materials, are their ability to mitigate shock waves. This paper investigated shock wave mitigation by a sandwich panel with a granular core. Numerical simulations and experimental tests were performed using Autodyn hydro-code software and a shock tube, respectively. The smoothed particle hydrodynamics (SPH) method was used to model granular materials. Sawdust and pumice, whose properties were determined by several compression tests, were used as granular materials in the sandwich panel core. These granular materials possess many mechanisms, including compacting (e.g., sawdust) and crushing (e.g., pumice) that mitigate shock/blast wave. The results indicated the ineffectiveness of using a core with low thickness, yet it was demonstrated to be effective with high thickness. Low-thickness pumice yielded better results for wave mitigation. The use of these materials with a core with appropriate core reduces up to 88% of the shock wave. The results of the experiments and numerical simulations were compared, suggesting a good agreement between the two. This indicates the accuracy of simulation and the ability of the SPH method to modeling granular material under shock loading. The effects of grain size and the coefficient of friction between grains have also been investigated using simulation, implying that increasing the grain size and coefficient of friction between grains both reduce overpressure.     

自润滑弹带挤进过程中渗出油量的对比计算

从弹带的作用及特性出发, 通过数值计算和统计计算 2种方法计算了自润滑弹带挤进过程中的渗出油量,初步得出了渗出油量和行程之间的关系。这一问题的解决为自润滑弹带材料的选择提供了理论依据。通过对 2种算法的比较可知, 数值计算误差更小一些, 而统计计算对数学条件要求不太苛刻。     

通用雷达装备维修器材储供标准模型

研究了通用雷达装备零部件寿命分布类型,给出了以可靠性为依据确定维修器材储供数量和排序参数的计算公式,分析了器材最小包装对计算结果和维修器材排序参数的影响,以及器材关键性对排序的影响及评判方法。     

纳米结构炭材料的储放氢性能研究

主要对多种纳米结构炭材料（超级活性炭、多壁碳纳米管,纳米碳纤堆,纳米石墨纤堆、纳米石墨球等）在常温、10-13MPa的氢气压力下的储放氢量进行了测定（其中包括经过一系列物化处理的样品）,井对其结构和比表面积分别采用SEM、TEM、HRTEM、ASAP2010吸附测试仪（BET）进行了分析．实验结果表明：经过处理的纳米碳样品的储放氢量有所提高,但没有一种样品在温和的实验每件下的储放氢量超过1．0wt％,离DOE目标（6．5wt%）相距甚远。     

Robust shortest path problems with two uncertain multiplicative cost coefficients

We consider a robust shortest path problem when the cost coefficient is the product of two uncertain factors. We first show that the robust problem can be solved in polynomial time by a dual‐variable enumeration with shortest path problems as subproblems. We also propose a path enumeration approach using a K ‐shortest paths finding algorithm that may be efficient in many real cases. An application in hazardous materials transportation is discussed, and the solution methods are illustrated by numerical examples. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013     

MOOC背景下数字化教材建设研究

近年来,MOOC在全球迅速兴起,对传统高等教育提出了挑战,也对数字化教材建设提出了紧迫要求.结合MOOC的特点,对数字化教材的定位、设计原则、编制要求及应用模式等进行了探讨.     

步兵轻武器新型夜瞄复合荧光材料的性能研究

采用自制的复合荧光粉体和化学载体成分,研制出一种步兵轻武器新型夜瞄复合荧光材料.通过试验分别研究了新材料的发光性能、耐温性能、耐腐蚀性能和耐表面处理性能.试验结果表明,研制的新型夜瞄复合荧光材料发光时间长、亮度高,具有良好的耐温、耐腐蚀性能,不受武器表面处理的影响,可满足步兵轻武器夜间瞄准需求.